Occidental Petroleum (OXY) — Equity Analysis

Energy

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)

Equity Research · May 2026 · Quality 6.5/10

Investment Thesis

Oil leverage with balance sheet improvement and Berkshire stake.

Economic Moat Analysis

Permian low-cost acreage and EOR.

Revenue & Earnings Trends

Steady compounding with resilient margins versus peers.

Intrinsic Value Estimate

Fair value: $62–$70 (DCF / owner earnings).

Key Risks

Commodity volatility and debt.

Management Evaluation

Rational, owner-oriented capital allocation.

Free Cash Flow Trends

Strong conversion supports reinvestment and shareholder returns.

Long-Term Outlook

Deleveraging if oil stays firm.